South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd915a898ce88791e846e9e1cf9a240f3bac38a16becabf5a2d3550dcb54e1fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,026$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 25c | 1,967$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.76 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 27c | 1,446$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 1,444$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 1,063$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.85 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 19c | 900$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 47c | 830.39$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.73 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 692.39$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 688.56$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 612.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 412.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 60c | 334.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 320.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 75c | 200.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 197.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 40c | 182.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 60c | 138.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 22c | 137.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 42c | 127.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 44c | 120.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 26c | 116$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 79.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 23c | 78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 23c | 77.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 75.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 24c | 55.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 24c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 24c | 47.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 45.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 35.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 58c | 33.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 46c | 21.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7ab4backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…4c47backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 65c | 18.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Under | 72c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.