South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39828bdb193e0cfe493230bb3b37c3711292975d3400fb7de9b833f68c06464a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,939$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.43 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 41c | 4,065$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.89 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 3,877$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.55 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 2,708$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 78c | 2,358$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.85 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,354$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 518.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 52c | 346.07$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 317.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Under | 49c | 276.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 52c | 267.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 51c | 201.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 181.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 53c | 175.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 129.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 97.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 59c | 76.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 50c | 75.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 16c | 74.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 71.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 64.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…7564backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 49c | 57.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 23c | 54.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 44c | 44.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…c001backed Under | 44c | 43.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 43.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 49c | 42.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…af7bbacked Over | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 38.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…356abacked Over | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 48c | 33.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2e…1b4cbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 52c | 29.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 56c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 59c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 69c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.