Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d31d438b5c273bcd40e3dfd824d3f2822c7ca18122664c1d9696b73a6dff135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Liverpool FC, Brentford FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Brentford FC | 69c | 8,164$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.86 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 2,960$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.67 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 2,350$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Liverpool FC | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 63c | 919.35$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Liverpool FC | 26c | 766.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 557.14$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Liverpool FC | 28c | 444.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 436$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Brentford FC | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Liverpool FC | 25c | 390.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea1…084ebacked Liverpool FC | 28c | 387.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…a352backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 307.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…99f6backed Brentford FC | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brentford FC | 70c | 241.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Liverpool FC | 38c | 204.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Brentford FC | 71c | 191.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Liverpool FC | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Brentford FC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brentford FC | 57c | 129.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Brentford FC | 59c | 128$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Liverpool FC | 43c | 127.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liverpool FC | 22c | 124.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Liverpool FC | 31c | 117.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 116.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brentford FC | 70c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brentford FC | 69c | 94.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Brentford FC | 69c | 81.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Liverpool FC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Brentford FC | 71c | 73.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Brentford FC | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…ec7fbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 70.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Liverpool FC | 31c | 67.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 62.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 59.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Brentford FC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 52.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c682backed Brentford FC | 70c | 47.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Brentford FC | 71c | 45.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Liverpool FC | 30c | 44.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…d891backed Brentford FC | 70c | 42.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Brentford FC | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f8c7backed Brentford FC | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 33.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…9831backed Brentford FC | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Brentford FC | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…436bbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 25.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Brentford FC | 70c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Brentford FC | 69c | 23.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e3d3backed Brentford FC | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Brentford FC | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Brentford FC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…58e1backed Brentford FC | 70c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…3f88backed Brentford FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…955cbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…6109backed Brentford FC | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.