Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747456a13406992dccb36b2f1dae26d1a6748937cdb210a06e32c37e67e665aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 6c | 6,803$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.21 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 776.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 25c | 573.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 570$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 25c | 559$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 449.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 74c | 448.53$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 75c | 346$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 76c | 341$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 287.28$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 254.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 75c | 136.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 75c | 97.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 14c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 25c | 51.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 76c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 75c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.