TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c86,350$38,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,810.853930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over45c19,792$8,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,906.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under57c17,626$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,626.435352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c16,892$9,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.536,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over41c16,684$6,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,921.0713353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under55c13,318$7,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,993.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9913348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under55c6,400$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c5,385$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.7957847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c4,800$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0648637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under55c4,800$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under64c4,617$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.2666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under56c3,582$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.643871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under57c2,997$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c2,800$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over44c2,778$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.9622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c2,773$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.0555351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over38c2,751$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.3981234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over42c2,394$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under55c2,368$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.69254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c2,285$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.584,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,090$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.41,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under56c2,054$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.553850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over45c1,969$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c1,915$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0253240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c1,908$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c1,785$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under75c1,684$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over29c1,466$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c1,380$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.171,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under55c1,182$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.814845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4320447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under55c1,040$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c1,040$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…2839backed Under55c1,030$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…cfe3backed Over44c1,012$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7521056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under58c875$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.510765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over42c816$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.723644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over45c771.44$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over44c735$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.411750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c641$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under55c640$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over43c625.1$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7913633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c624$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.814658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under55c624$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.813858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c590.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8495332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under55c560$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.825527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under52c495.11$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.658230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over45c487.36$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.314555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c484.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.251,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over48c475.11$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c450.11$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over48c446.44$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.291414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under55c424$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.53522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over43c330.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.220651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over45c324$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over47c320.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c316$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3332951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under55c281$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.455642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c260.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under56c258.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.934264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c211.32$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c210.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2772658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c192.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.734242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c179.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4714546.2%67 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under75c167.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under56c150.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.225457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.257853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c134.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3821857.3%125 W · 93 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.48259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.