Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a9fa4286ea9b2b07b85008c8fba405e9a45cd3521df496a25b0746c030f4fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 68,188$11,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 19,409$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.41 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…7ac2backed Over | 78c | 9,000$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 6,717$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.57 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 15c | 5,415$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.3 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 15c | 4,035$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 80c | 2,854$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.05 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 15c | 2,355$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.19 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 15c | 2,168$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 1,343$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 1,157$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 964.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 15c | 777$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 15c | 757.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 15c | 482.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 412.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 22c | 360$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 324.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 278.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 60c | 276$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 242$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 192.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 15c | 187.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 13c | 127.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Under | 15c | 96.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 64c | 94.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 39c | 70.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 19c | 59.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 48c | 50.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 46.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 30c | 45.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 56c | 42.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…776fbacked Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 74c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.