TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over67c63,468$42,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,498.683930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Under32c30,137$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,494.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c10,831$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.274,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c8,935$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.5881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over67c7,328$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.4940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under33c6,400$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,28814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…b940backed Over64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under33c6,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.953658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c5,948$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.5757847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under58c5,157$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under51c4,852$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under33c4,800$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21613155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d9…d857backed Over67c4,780$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c4,083$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.191,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under46c3,779$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c3,382$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.8495332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c3,314$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.616753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under33c2,800$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under71c2,799$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.155954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c2,676$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.686,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over31c2,578$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2516237.7%61 W · 101 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under33c2,500$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.956058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under33c2,400$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under33c2,368$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.569254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under35c2,300$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.6441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Over68c2,219$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c2,136$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.5455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under71c2,056$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3407959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under33c2,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.992850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over43c1,846$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.946139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under33c1,600$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under33c1,600$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under33c1,407$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.841190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick56cpaid+71.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over68c1,400$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9523644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over66c1,354$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8942740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80414355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80412157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under34c1,143$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.653850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c1,091$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.8613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under33c1,088$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under33c1,040$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under33c1,040$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ce…944bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under34c973$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.1811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under33c900$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60318156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under33c900$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over68c878.45$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.843948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c871.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.081,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c863.41$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5175542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under33c781$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.521056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over68c744.4$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6811652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over64c724.75$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.635145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under47c680.3$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under33c640$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under33c624$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0814658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under33c624$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0813858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c599.32$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under32c596.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.882050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c581.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0454132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under33c560$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over68c548.43$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.931752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under46c521.74$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under34c514.71$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7112652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under58c482.76$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under33c478.57$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3611430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c456.33$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8722443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over68c449.17$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.062,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26812558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26810860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26810558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under37c354.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2969742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over68c323.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under33c320$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.47261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under35c305.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over66c300.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.079345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c292.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.551,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over68c288.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under47c286.31$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under27c271.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3645249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under34c262.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.695457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over5c257.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.333339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over37c253$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.616038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c233$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.871,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over73c203.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.791540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under35c197.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.142045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under65c196.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.