TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes33c39,997$13,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.3336243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes1c30,666$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6615371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c27,415$17,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,651.917,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c13,181$10,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.65,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…7ea0backed Yes1c12,152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No68c9,804$6,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.2916953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c9,165$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,435.42,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c9,001$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.482864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes36c8,251$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.554934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes45c8,000$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.986241.9%26 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Yes40c7,273$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes43c7,082$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.4827542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes1c6,866$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.661450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No50c6,559$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.56446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes46c6,038$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.813043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No53c5,763$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.1613357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c5,383$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.282,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c4,927$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.832,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes1c4,800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4889258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0529…c9dabacked Yes45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes49c3,852$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.398549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No62c3,312$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.873351.5%17 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c3,178$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.461,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c2,905$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1391148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes1c2,885$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.857969.6%55 W · 24 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c19…2881backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes13c1,666$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5410825%27 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Yes12c1,621$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.97651.3%39 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes39c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006829.4%20 W · 48 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No55c1,295$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.661560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No52c1,171$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.1954650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No54c1,097$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8814560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c1,097$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8838358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa087…d888backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No52c978.32$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.713265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Yes39c928.85$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No50c920$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes43c903.64$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No59c847.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes39c841.44$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes34c825.03$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.511723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed No59c818.42$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34513755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked Yes43c730.23$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes39c687.12$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c642.9$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3494043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes35c635.08$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes55c599.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.981936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes41c557.47$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1511923.5%28 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes46c536.95$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes52c526.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0911755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes35c511.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17916826.2%44 W · 124 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c495$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6526853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes49c487.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked No50c481.68$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.684344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c452.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9932436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebdb…a8f0backed Yes6c451.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c422.44$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7377350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes49c373$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4234139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Yes41c365.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No52c362.59$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.761675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x127b…ac34backed Yes40c362.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No61c301.74$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5311968.1%81 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed No62c292.46$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes39c276.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes41c269.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.69825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No52c261.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4911155%61 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes42c247.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes40c241.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.715664.3%36 W · 20 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes25c230$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.326445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No53c228.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.873053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0286…9648backed Yes51c226.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked No65c223.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.83871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b9…6a0cbacked Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c202.44$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9198653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes49c199.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.666150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c196.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.921,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c187.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6938359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No59c185.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.032462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.