TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AS Romaof AS Roma, Hellas Verona FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Hellas Verona FC55c101,975$56,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,267.212560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed AS Roma47c17,810$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,459.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Hellas Verona FC54c14,771$7,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,976.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AS Roma44c11,054$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed AS Roma49c8,888$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,577.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed AS Roma44c6,815$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked AS Roma45c6,329$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,481.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked AS Roma45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.967560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed AS Roma44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed AS Roma44c4,835$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed AS Roma44c4,578$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.477762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked AS Roma44c4,477$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed AS Roma44c4,360$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AS Roma44c4,278$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed AS Roma50c4,047$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.0513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AS Roma45c3,767$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.7798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked AS Roma44c3,270$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.22951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked AS Roma44c3,162$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked AS Roma46c3,100$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.5418951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed AS Roma45c3,051$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.234239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Hellas Verona FC49c2,013$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Hellas Verona FC55c1,988$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.6315946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed AS Roma48c1,973$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed AS Roma44c1,934$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.27785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick44cpaid+102%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed AS Roma44c1,920$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Hellas Verona FC55c1,845$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.77945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed AS Roma47c1,561$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.2468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked AS Roma44c1,522$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.3238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed AS Roma44c1,283$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.759650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed AS Roma44c1,283$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.7519952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked AS Roma44c1,214$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.845754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Hellas Verona FC54c1,010$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked AS Roma45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked AS Roma45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked AS Roma49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed AS Roma46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Hellas Verona FC53c990.57$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5256936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed AS Roma44c869.43$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.653847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked AS Roma44c795$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.29652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hellas Verona FC55c741.98$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked AS Roma46c614.91$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.053650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed AS Roma44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed AS Roma44c568$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0846047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed AS Roma45c554.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.066852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed AS Roma49c529$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked AS Roma40c510.1$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.392356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked AS Roma46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Hellas Verona FC71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed AS Roma46c446$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.842055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hellas Verona FC54c436.14$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked AS Roma44c401$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed AS Roma33c360$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed AS Roma46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed AS Roma46c264.61$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8912035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked AS Roma49c256$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.844725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hellas Verona FC62c247$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed AS Roma44c229.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.77347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed AS Roma44c203.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.765054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3681…c186backed AS Roma46c186.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed AS Roma48c177.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0727226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked AS Roma46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Roma45c152$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Hellas Verona FC55c145.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.443655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed AS Roma44c134.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.12576%19 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed AS Roma46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.433759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked AS Roma44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked AS Roma47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Hellas Verona FC55c118.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed AS Roma46c116.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.611547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked AS Roma44c112.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.935100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Hellas Verona FC55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52520%5 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed AS Roma46c109.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed AS Roma46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…8458backed AS Roma46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed AS Roma44c106.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4211260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed AS Roma44c106.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.343145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed AS Roma44c104.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.178159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cca…af5cbacked AS Roma46c103.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Hellas Verona FC54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9314742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked AS Roma49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4512357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Hellas Verona FC54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed AS Roma46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed AS Roma46c99.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.55742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked AS Roma45c95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.258463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked AS Roma45c87.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed AS Roma42c87.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed AS Roma46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed AS Roma46c85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked AS Roma49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed AS Roma35c72.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed AS Roma37c71.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked AS Roma45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed AS Roma45c66.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd558…a218backed AS Roma45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed AS Roma42c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.73060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…1307backed AS Roma32c62.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed AS Roma44c56.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.519042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed AS Roma45c55.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d5…41b8backed AS Roma46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed AS Roma46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.