Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f9669b21b3d0192aee907cfd515abb825187e3a0f163d52c5edacf30029ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,704$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 23c | 1,546$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.69 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 43c | 1,128$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.82 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 876.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.1 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 865.5$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 57c | 833.94$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 42c | 707.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 58c | 552.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 488.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed No | 57c | 348.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 43c | 346.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 44c | 338.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 29c | 337.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 44c | 337.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 42c | 298.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 237.68$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 58c | 157.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 57c | 118.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 111.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 57c | 82.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 72.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 57c | 31.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…5d21backed No | 58c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.