TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under48c122,863$58,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,897.832560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,80010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over52c40,000$20,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,678.435349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under47c24,700$11,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,091666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,400933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c8,556$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1605550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c7,461$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,954.2518923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over52c6,060$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over24c5,474$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.684337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c5,471$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.0134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c4,369$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.5698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c3,568$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c3,010$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.9968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c2,971$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.6127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c2,881$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.39650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over52c2,628$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.386165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over52c2,486$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.6419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over37c2,485$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c2,412$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2485862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over52c2,368$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.365151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,200$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.7641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c2,127$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.2413839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over52c1,998$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over52c1,815$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.924528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Over52c1,665$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…2ec2backed Over52c1,494$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7144242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Over52c1,214$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over23c1,211$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.535459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over52c1,186$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over50c1,171$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Over52c1,170$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over52c1,148$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.741838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over52c1,012$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.666836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…160cbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…2027backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…b45cbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over51c955.88$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c915.59$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c866$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over40c840$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3368548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c814$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over23c499.94$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.992075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.99652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c459.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9336456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c449.81$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.93847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c426.49$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c416.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Over53c370.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c317.61$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over52c305.02$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.615754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c301.95$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.69045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under47c299.95$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.972948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4749…321dbacked Over39c254.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over53c235.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…262dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c219.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over27c203.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9414442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under76c201.88$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over53c188.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c182.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over52c173$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.962365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over52c171.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.412763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over19c168.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.612356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Under75c165$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under47c164.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under78c151.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over31c137.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under67c133.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.613350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…2cacbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over47c126.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over51c119.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.185846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abb…bf93backed Over40c118.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under65c107.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c102.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over53c97.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.