TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x966c…9b1abacked Under51c8,175$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c6,912$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c3,741$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.063447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over67c2,478$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.1722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c2,135$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.62,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over52c1,922$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.688033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under18c1,643$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.12642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,194$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Under26c1,146$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.843141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under26c1,078$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.436852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over53c988.13$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.062075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over74c647.94$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.468354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c616.92$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under3c583.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c559.69$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Under33c522.12$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.984463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c510.57$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8122545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under39c503.05$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.071650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Under21c479.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.283638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Under42c423.81$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Under20c398.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.753243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.614365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over78c383.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.085100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c379.22$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under53c376.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under44c352.03$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under43c310$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c265.21$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over78c239.56$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.563080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under24c234.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c230$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under38c211$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.177042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c201.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Over61c194.31$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under26c193.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.074856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+137%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over60c185.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over78c166.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.652785.2%23 W · 4 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over69c152.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.867762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under23c148$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.046836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c133.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under35c132.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0113350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over50c127.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over72c126.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under47c125.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over56c125.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5514442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Over64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under23c105.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c102.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over77c102$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.418159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked Under20c100.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Over69c98.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over77c84.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8810353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abb…bf93backed Under15c82.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Under39c77.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee01…b01fbacked Under66c76.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over77c74.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.223458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over80c69.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.169045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…858abacked Under20c60.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under24c55.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.363020%6 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under24c54.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over77c52.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.074271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c51.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefdf…6e54backed Over78c50.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x085f…c468backed Over78c44.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under24c43.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4515946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…2473backed Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…10b8backed Under49c41.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Under50c41.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over54c41.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4717958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c37.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8915244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.765052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Under39c36.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ea…1d36backed Over60c33.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.056662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over76c30.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3217354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over52c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Under36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34110%0 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd2…3fa2backed Under53c26.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.