Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1dc4830a9b3a6d9833a9cf9dd44241434b431165314287e7a4e4d62e2d5a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pisa SCof SS Lazio, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Pisa SC | 66c | 40,808$26,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,959.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed SS Lazio | 32c | 13,210$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked SS Lazio | 34c | 11,130$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SS Lazio | 29c | 10,197$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.37 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SS Lazio | 33c | 4,705$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SS Lazio | 34c | 4,234$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.71 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SS Lazio | 32c | 4,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SS Lazio | 34c | 2,815$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed SS Lazio | 35c | 2,307$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Pisa SC | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked SS Lazio | 24c | 1,180$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.46 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed SS Lazio | 34c | 1,161$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.38 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed SS Lazio | 34c | 1,150$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pisa SC | 70c | 1,005$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.59 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pisa SC | 70c | 1,004$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.83 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked SS Lazio | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed SS Lazio | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed SS Lazio | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked SS Lazio | 35c | 935.2$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked SS Lazio | 32c | 795$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SS Lazio | 34c | 740$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SS Lazio | 35c | 688.24$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pisa SC | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked SS Lazio | 30c | 469.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed SS Lazio | 34c | 424$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SS Lazio | 31c | 419.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pisa SC | 68c | 315.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed SS Lazio | 30c | 313.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed SS Lazio | 33c | 298.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed SS Lazio | 37c | 282.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SS Lazio | 32c | 214$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked SS Lazio | 32c | 187.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked SS Lazio | 28c | 186.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SS Lazio | 34c | 180.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked SS Lazio | 30c | 153$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked SS Lazio | 26c | 152.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pisa SC | 70c | 150.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pisa SC | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed SS Lazio | 32c | 145.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed SS Lazio | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked SS Lazio | 35c | 137.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Pisa SC | 65c | 127.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed SS Lazio | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed SS Lazio | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Pisa SC | 69c | 74.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed SS Lazio | 34c | 72.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…72debacked SS Lazio | 31c | 64.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked SS Lazio | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed SS Lazio | 33c | 64.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked SS Lazio | 36c | 63.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…8458backed SS Lazio | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Pisa SC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed SS Lazio | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pisa SC | 66c | 54.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed SS Lazio | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked SS Lazio | 30c | 46.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SS Lazio | 29c | 41.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked SS Lazio | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed SS Lazio | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Pisa SC | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…98a5backed SS Lazio | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed SS Lazio | 36c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Pisa SC | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pisa SC | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Pisa SC | 65c | 23.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Pisa SC | 72c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pisa SC | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)this page
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.