Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d6f80262df04104e37cbccaf7579ec3b3c18db022cd52c09c69396671731e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 1,004$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 871.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 600.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 47c | 596.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 135.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 114.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 93.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 45c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 63.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 61.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…3fa2backed No | 55c | 41.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Yes | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 48c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 51c | 21.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.