TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c9,613$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c8,766$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.615752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under51c5,686$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.963450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under48c3,917$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c2,219$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.0827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,712$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.53464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c1,087$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.364528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c772.27$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.274339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c701.81$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under37c676.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c479.13$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Over50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2229958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under25c362$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over49c357.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.146936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over55c350$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1594242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under45c350$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c317.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over50c300.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over41c299.89$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.194725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c298.87$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.568548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c278.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over51c264.46$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under48c256.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.066836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11714258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over41c230.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.116331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c222.7$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over51c206.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.032352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under53c199.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.521154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c194.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under50c187.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over50c179.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.949857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over49c150.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.817045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c144.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under28c121.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.392321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c105.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.683050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over50c97.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Under51c91.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c89.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over46c72.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2321748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc126…60aebacked Under42c70.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c67.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c60.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.669056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.47556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over76c53.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over46c45.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6314442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over57c37.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1922545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Under53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over39c36.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x474e…b0fdbacked Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over53c35.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c35.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.369542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c35.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.949561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c33.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over50c31.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63171%22 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over50c29.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c25.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over48c25.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0310353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.443060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9151…14a0backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…4cfdbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…1936backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa8…a410backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under63c18.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.577762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.