Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e769396aef78003b33d0617fb7575b602d83928f672c37d01486edb85c3296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,104$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 4,949$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.34 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 3,348$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 27c | 2,633$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 2,102$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.18 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 495.88$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.7 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 20c | 471.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 402$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 387.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 73c | 309.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 242.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 31c | 222$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 167.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 161.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 73c | 129.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 117.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 27c | 114.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 27c | 113.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 70c | 99.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 71c | 95.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 25c | 86.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Under | 73c | 79.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 29c | 64.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 52.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…10adbacked Under | 43c | 43.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 60c | 42.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 70c | 36.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 75c | 29.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 27.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 48c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 50c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 72c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.