Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f71f6e624e6f865125636c24ad56cd2037e41df086fdb7ea9b0e64ab4daca4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of Como 1907, US Cremonese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Cremonese | 55c | 7,942$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Como 1907 | 44c | 7,777$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Como 1907 | 19c | 947.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed US Cremonese | 67c | 705.62$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Como 1907 | 34c | 343$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Como 1907 | 14c | 313.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.67 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed US Cremonese | 16c | 310.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Como 1907 | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Como 1907 | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed US Cremonese | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked US Cremonese | 79c | 47.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed US Cremonese | 59c | 43.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed US Cremonese | 35c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed US Cremonese | 59c | 18.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed US Cremonese | 59c | 18.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed US Cremonese | 79c | 13.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.