Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0bed51cb4557b2963f9deb3ac1d72d0fe69d2e4a676b7f244bfcbb37f949601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 34,045$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,231.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 4,307$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.53 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 38c | 3,833$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Under | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 28c | 935.59$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 886.64$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 35c | 861.28$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 35c | 861.28$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 25c | 777$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 385.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 334.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 327.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 31c | 226.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 18c | 167.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 165.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 155.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 70c | 104.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 72c | 67.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…5b75backed Under | 26c | 48.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 33c | 44.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 30c | 33.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…2941backed Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 78c | 17.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.