Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f32ea79f4b6f1dd0b4e961b6d9d3c0f353f4db4d63b22df87c1cc1c36d48d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 56c | 536.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 66c | 446.87$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 28c | 434$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 5c | 380$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 351.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 344.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 331.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 315$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 244.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 63c | 211.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 20c | 173.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 116.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 69.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…0320backed Over | 33c | 50.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 48c | 41.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 53c | 33.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.