Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41351fbdeeee0c6ce1d922d27d19251d57080bc8df0e0894f32c6649995d1ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 968.61$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.19 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 772.32$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.97 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 44c | 613.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Yes | 39c | 547.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 59c | 443.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 7c | 416.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.56 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 46c | 229.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 40c | 223$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 40c | 169.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…069cbacked Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 119.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 99.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 48.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 56c | 38.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed No | 57c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 23.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 19.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio leading at halftime?this page
- Pisa SC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.