Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bdde7be73b2c2a9bf6e8260d5eb98aa836dd38dffd9f7e6000ae050abc94fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 76c | 13,542$10,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Shandong Taishan FC | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.92 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.01 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 17c | 1,904$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC | 46c | 691.5$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 18c | 680.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Taishan FC | 22c | 676.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 325.31$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 311.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shandong Taishan FC | 15c | 293.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 164.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 141.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 75c | 98.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Shandong Taishan FC | 25c | 80.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 76c | 68.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…3cd9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 55c | 57.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Shandong Taishan FC | 34c | 56.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 65c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…9c82backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 78c | 43.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 76c | 42.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 22.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.