Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57875c3b90759199b027449546b7359ab4cc830d1f47b85a65ea0cf67090cf06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 8c | 881.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 44c | 755$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 738.7$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.12 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 7c | 710.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 674.62$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 457.44$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 321.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 55c | 149.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 53c | 93.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 85.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 62.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 45c | 54.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 53.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 64c | 48.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 45c | 41.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.