Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcdb99856258d4c72a943b22360f180ca39eaeec0ed379d174509463e1a50bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,259$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.8 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 1,940$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.14 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 1,616$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.94 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 70c | 1,360$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.33 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 77c | 1,313$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 19c | 807.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 26c | 700$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 16c | 599.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 76c | 447.36$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 423.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 37c | 271.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 231.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 60c | 209.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 157.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +756.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 70c | 125.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 109.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 94.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 27c | 90.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 26c | 79.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 43c | 69.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 55.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 45.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 44.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 64c | 32.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 74c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.