Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ab87f54f372ddce3a36f8e75230562bcd4086f01726171ce493fec926f183b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Damac Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Damac Saudi Club | 65c | 3,695$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 38c | 3,077$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 44c | 2,491$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.43 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 37c | 1,010$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.9 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Damac Saudi Club | 49c | 938.78$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 832.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…b1cfbacked Damac Saudi Club | 55c | 570.36$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 46c | 502.81$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 44c | 428.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 413.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 45c | 400.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 238.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Damac Saudi Club | 64c | 202.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Damac Saudi Club | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Damac Saudi Club | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Damac Saudi Club | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…f725backed Damac Saudi Club | 52c | 143.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Damac Saudi Club | 49c | 139.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 136.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 36c | 128.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Damac Saudi Club | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Damac Saudi Club | 58c | 124$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Damac Saudi Club | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 40c | 112.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Damac Saudi Club | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Damac Saudi Club | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 92.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 61c | 86.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 65c | 84.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Damac Saudi Club | 58c | 74.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 45c | 59.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Damac Saudi Club | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Damac Saudi Club | 52c | 49.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Damac Saudi Club | 69c | 48.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 38c | 43.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 47c | 34.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Damac Saudi Club | 65c | 33.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 32.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 45c | 29.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 26.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…0860backed Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 24.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…25f3backed Damac Saudi Club | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Damac Saudi Club | 57c | 22.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Damac Saudi Club | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Damac Saudi Club | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Damac Saudi Club | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Damac Saudi Club | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.