TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Damac Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club65c29,785$19,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,324.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Damac Saudi Club33c15,878$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,305.11,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Damac Saudi Club35c9,348$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club66c3,095$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Damac Saudi Club31c2,760$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.825,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Damac Saudi Club35c1,976$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.466439.1%25 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Damac Saudi Club35c1,870$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.481,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Damac Saudi Club33c1,736$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.821,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Damac Saudi Club35c1,540$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8240156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club67c1,498$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club72c1,300$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3648242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Damac Saudi Club35c1,299$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.814058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Al Nassr Saudi Club68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damac Saudi Club38c1,019$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7369352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Al Nassr Saudi Club71c840.84$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club69c774.83$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.832277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Al Nassr Saudi Club68c729.24$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.641717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Damac Saudi Club36c611.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0715133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ae…809abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club60c496.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Damac Saudi Club42c479.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club64c472.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.315242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba3…c891backed Al Nassr Saudi Club64c449.77$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club66c447.72$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.793348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Damac Saudi Club26c352.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.556819.1%13 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club67c310$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Damac Saudi Club24c305.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.682,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Damac Saudi Club34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Damac Saudi Club35c285.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Nassr Saudi Club64c269.26$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9382842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Damac Saudi Club38c235.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Damac Saudi Club35c233.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.371729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club78c207.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5377056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club69c206.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.581,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Al Nassr Saudi Club60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Damac Saudi Club39c198.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5311053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club71c194.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club64c169.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Al Nassr Saudi Club60c156.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.81,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213463.4%85 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Damac Saudi Club34c146.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Damac Saudi Club35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Damac Saudi Club35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54571.1%32 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Damac Saudi Club35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Damac Saudi Club31c126.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.522544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Damac Saudi Club35c125.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.721,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Al Nassr Saudi Club70c119.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3430049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club67c107.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.568256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Damac Saudi Club34c106$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0418353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Damac Saudi Club35c105$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.752972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc79…11d1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Damac Saudi Club35c99.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.749750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Damac Saudi Club35c94.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club68c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Damac Saudi Club34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Al Nassr Saudi Club73c79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3312244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Damac Saudi Club35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2511557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4633…48f1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Damac Saudi Club19c69.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.328155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c66.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Damac Saudi Club36c63.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Damac Saudi Club35c63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…d40bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club67c62.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Damac Saudi Club37c61.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8130464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Damac Saudi Club42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…5828backed Damac Saudi Club29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Damac Saudi Club35c51.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club59c48.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9721652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club67c45.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0472144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673180.6%25 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club71c40.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club71c40.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Al Nassr Saudi Club64c40.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Al Nassr Saudi Club65c38.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club75c31.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9426348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Damac Saudi Club38c30.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd082…1375backed Al Nassr Saudi Club65c30.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Al Nassr Saudi Club65c30.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.662352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Al Nassr Saudi Club64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62fa…d16cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club66c29.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8a…23d0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Al Nassr Saudi Club55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3514949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c24.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1820769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…e75fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club56c18.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club71c18.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club62c17.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Al Nassr Saudi Club66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.