TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c6,267$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.71,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c5,847$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.72,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c5,601$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.8510235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under28c3,558$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.119526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under50c2,589$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Under56c2,335$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Over53c1,914$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.248242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Over50c1,459$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.651457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c1,182$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.495,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…36a8backed Under47c1,163$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,100$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over45c1,074$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+164.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c917.3$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.651,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under74c810.81$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under63c792.13$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c744.53$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c704.58$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.632,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c700$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.832277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under46c496.74$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c447$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.561,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c442.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.822,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over48c435.41$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over50c427.82$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.229145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under26c396$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over47c355.06$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.182657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over50c332.61$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.223246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c300.12$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0638849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over43c299.88$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8815133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee01…b01fbacked Under70c290$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under49c275$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.012250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over27c266.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under47c261.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c245.4$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.189246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c242.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.461,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.882842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2721830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over47c209.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over76c196.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.452277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under53c194.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf85…4efebacked Over51c180.8$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Over76c180.3$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.241931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over28c170.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under24c166.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over47c164.44$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c157.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over47c155.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2640550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over44c135.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8410843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under49c132.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b6…3f0ebacked Under68c100.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6739954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over52c73.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over48c73.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0319751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c69.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5917545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under53c65.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.894759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under46c62.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7512244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over51c60.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.668256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.942351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under56c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c59.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5930049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over74c58.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2330464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…6badbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed Over52c47.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed Over48c41.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd177…1c8abacked Under53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under53c37.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.816759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over47c37.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.829432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db1…c073backed Under50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over70c28.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Over48c27.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over51c26.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Over51c21.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Under73c21.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.