Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e2f9825fb8ec10a4a2b2471de89a69f824731734afad7540c7a512515bf717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 9,169$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.65 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 69c | 6,118$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 32c | 3,795$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 2,752$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 2,701$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.19 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 1,531$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.17 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 63c | 1,417$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 36c | 1,285$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 1c | 1,026$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…68a0backed Under | 71c | 976.54$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 820.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.51 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 30c | 706.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 674.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Under | 72c | 547.23$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 69c | 492.75$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 37c | 461.24$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.07 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 28c | 389.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 43c | 362.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 28c | 349.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 312.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under | 73c | 272.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 20c | 244.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 62c | 240.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Under | 56c | 237.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 9c | 199.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 62c | 196.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 27c | 190$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 175.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 175.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Under | 64c | 164.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 163.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…9ce2backed Under | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 100.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed Under | 43c | 92.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 69c | 73.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Under | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 57.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 30c | 52.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 26c | 47.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…6ebabacked Under | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 32.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…26e6backed Over | 63c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…41bbbacked Under | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f35ebacked Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…7e84backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.