Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b3939d6f27788a55903c4836613db1b45f983ae36b9558a7115b02943b15a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 28c | 1,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 23c | 1,315$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,171$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 70c | 974.55$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 741.34$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 53c | 654$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 629$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 708 | 52.4%371 W · 337 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 70c | 427.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 401.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 44c | 393.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 21c | 387.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 70c | 365.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 353.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 314.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 73c | 308.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 300.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 277.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 76c | 259.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 80c | 247.32$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 233.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 52c | 194.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 106.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 101.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed Under | 20c | 97.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 68c | 92.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 69c | 80.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 71c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 55c | 73.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 71.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 70.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 72c | 60.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 35c | 59.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 44c | 55.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Under | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 73c | 40.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 475 | 55.4%263 W · 212 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…5f5ebacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…fbf4backed Under | 39c | 30.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…8336backed Over | 71c | 27.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 73c | 24.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 69c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 362 | 55%199 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 71c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 72c | 17.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 75c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.