Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8029a5e099c008cc8c8b80289595f6e78ee21006186c52e8e92f939d7f9c949a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 24,821$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 53c | 9,947$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 20c | 8,843$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.73 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 78c | 8,816$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 8,764$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 7,339$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 5,894$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.57 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 4,744$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.25 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 4,517$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.51 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed No | 25c | 4,177$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 48c | 4,125$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 3,396$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.18 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 51c | 3,242$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.58 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 47c | 3,108$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.01 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,947$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.01 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 48c | 2,947$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 15c | 2,458$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.42 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 17c | 2,199$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.26 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,007$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 1,993$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.22 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 72c | 1,987$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.85 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed Yes | 52c | 1,838$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 52c | 1,806$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 1,764$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 74c | 1,633$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 21c | 1,547$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked No | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 79c | 1,165$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 46c | 1,100$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked No | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 49c | 976.11$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…b7a9backed Yes | 52c | 938$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 30c | 915$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 823.17$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.98 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 47c | 803$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.41 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked No | 36c | 790.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Yes | 52c | 759.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 742.44$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 51c | 734.14$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 694.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Yes | 78c | 660.56$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 12c | 593.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 52c | 573.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 48c | 552$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 48c | 530.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 520$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 520$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 32c | 509.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 484.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 469.9$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 12c | 446.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Yes | 78c | 406.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 380.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 52c | 375.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed No | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 78c | 319.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 48c | 317.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 49c | 309.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 305.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 51c | 293.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 79c | 247.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 246.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 48c | 235.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 79c | 234.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 231.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 220.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 219$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 52c | 218.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 41c | 210.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 48c | 208.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.