Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5822e44cb09cd33f2869cb1fe615fbecd8db2c62fb77dbf513bc2711f0c6d2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,687$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.84 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 7,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 5,976$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.42 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 3,244$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.79 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,239$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 77c | 1,294$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 79c | 1,204$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 1,126$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes | 25c | 920.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 24c | 907.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed No | 79c | 629.81$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 567.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 493.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 77c | 391.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 77c | 391.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 24c | 302.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 299$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked No | 77c | 293.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 274.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 232.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 23c | 226.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes | 24c | 207.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 131.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed Yes | 12c | 124.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 115.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 107.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…929bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 68.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 65.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed No | 79c | 47.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 46.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Yes | 22c | 46.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.