MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2859add9ceb006b9829cc2427a0c79a4ec8f59658cf37ef1e2120adf3584eb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,210,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,301,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,210,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 251,890$130,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,907.22 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 84,629$40,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,025.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 70,612$34,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,599.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 60,774$29,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,710.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 54,636$28,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,271.64 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 53,811$27,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,849.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 51,361$26,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,993.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 49,257$23,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,643.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 41,096$26,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,472.89 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 40,207$21,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,897.06 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 39,091$20,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,091.85 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 37,545$20,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,587.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 29,424$11,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,791.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 26,653$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,821.83 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 26,646$14,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,607.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 26,337$13,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,904.95 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 22,519$10,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.92 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 20,755$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,754.72 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 16,874$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843.63 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 13,123$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.18 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 11,737$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 11,178$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 9,754$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 9,160$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,358$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 7,227$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 6,588$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 6,110$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.38 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 5,479$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.81 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 4,376$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.39 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 4,172$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.01 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,061$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,000$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.62 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 3,868$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 3,853$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.16 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,804$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.69 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,627$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.29 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,517$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,313$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 3,154$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.01 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,028$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.15 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,918$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,904$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.99 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,631$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 2,604$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,600$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,449$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,440$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.91 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,263$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,240$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.25 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,200$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 2,121$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.19 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,040$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.84 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,974$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,938$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,878$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.55 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,785$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.25 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,734$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,525$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,514$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,485$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,471$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.82 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,400$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,300$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 1,293$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,211$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.82 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,181$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,181$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.83 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,151$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.85 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,149$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,035$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,016$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.