MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5b332ceca1e9ae5f9bf806f0494c6eb26ff3184e89e4ee072958badc5b1fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e7…adfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 9,905$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,072.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 8,417$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 6,802$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.94 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 2,432$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.99 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 2,292$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.99 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,290$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,721$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 1,436$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,330$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,265$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.76 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,241$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.84 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,150$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,057$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.04 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,054$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.63 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,005$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 935.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 922.13$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 897.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.42 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 776.04$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 718.64$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 717.45$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.64 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 677.88$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 554.4$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.75 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 456$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 382.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 374.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 310$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 305.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 288.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 287.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 262.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 258.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 208.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 184.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 159.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 126.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 119$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 113.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 111.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 103.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 95.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 78.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 69.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 62.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 59.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 54.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 53.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 51.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 50.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 44.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 43.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 39.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 36.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 34.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…668fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 31.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 31.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 25.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.