NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498e2ad9779fed68f99a53d85922993e94b4e9a09838792c0c140b8b996303b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,409,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,437,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,409,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Knicks | 49c | 400,000$196,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,999.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Knicks | 49c | 338,159$165,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,842.54 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Knicks | 48c | 292,717$141,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,965.01 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 51c | 286,479$146,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,104.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 250,000$127,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,499.96 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 51c | 226,090$115,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,354.52 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cavaliers | 51c | 54,197$27,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,640.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers | 51c | 43,443$22,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,156.06 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 23,975$12,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,356.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 20,500$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,660 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 20,298$10,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,352.17 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 48c | 20,119$9,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,462 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…ee89backed Knicks | 50c | 19,616$9,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,807.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 49c | 15,124$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,713.24 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Cavaliers | 42c | 14,443$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.42 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 49c | 14,148$6,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,201.66 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 52c | 13,975$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.94 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Knicks | 49c | 10,417$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.49 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 10,336$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.82 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Knicks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 9,783$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 9,055$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 7,224$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.51 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,800$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,790$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.76 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,402$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Knicks | 70c | 6,158$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.98 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Knicks | 50c | 5,946$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers | 24c | 5,595$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.63 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,067$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.38 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Knicks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,923$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,532$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 44c | 4,520$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.52 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,340$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Knicks | 50c | 4,180$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.12 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,869$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,782$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,519$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.63 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 61c | 3,192$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.25 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Knicks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,021$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.06 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Knicks | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Knicks | 49c | 2,898$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.96 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks | 49c | 2,526$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Cavaliers | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Cavaliers | 35c | 2,467$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.04 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Knicks | 50c | 2,291$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 48c | 2,223$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…d001backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,931$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Knicks | 49c | 1,916$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.33 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Knicks | 49c | 1,617$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.86 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 49c | 1,561$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.06 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Knicks | 50c | 1,507$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.5 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Knicks | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Knicks | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.46 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks | 49c | 1,310$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.39 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,264$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.64 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Knicks | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,172$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 1,132$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,104$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,048$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Knicks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Knicks | 65c | 999.84$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Knicks | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 965.38$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cavaliers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…d38fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Cavaliers | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…0994backed Cavaliers | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.