NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c32aaa0b55feb1d5c59535ec9deca00a549c647276d664eac17e697c585269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 13c | 2,904$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.35 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 1,947$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 5c | 1,759$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 32c | 1,356$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…0241backed Under | 33c | 1,320$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b21…7accbacked Under | 33c | 1,269$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 25c | 1,031$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 9c | 803.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 69c | 724.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 70c | 643.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 23c | 612.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…6bb7backed Under | 10c | 561.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 69c | 519.22$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 34c | 514.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 11c | 486.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 67c | 386.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 19c | 268.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 30c | 231$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 72c | 204.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Under | 8c | 144.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 17c | 135.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 111.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6d83backed Over | 68c | 76.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 71c | 60.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 71c | 60.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 30c | 46.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…cfe3backed Over | 67c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…0032backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…94e7backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…4b4bbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…2860backed Over | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…148dbacked Over | 67c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.