TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks48c18,773$9,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,727.2818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers51c16,450$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,356.4869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Cavaliers52c8,229$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.295459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Cavaliers73c7,671$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers53c3,875$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Knicks41c2,982$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.1722036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks30c2,513$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.35954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers1c2,016$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.912,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Knicks29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.994327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers54c1,783$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks37c1,619$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.2764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Cavaliers72c1,613$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.0954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Cavaliers63c1,577$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks30c1,521$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.0925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.912741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers53c1,484$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.7255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers60c1,259$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Knicks53c1,229$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.514173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers51c1,127$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers70c1,075$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks44c1,024$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Knicks66c972.64$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.136749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers70c960$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers55c950$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cavaliers71c885.4$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9310256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Knicks30c717.55$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.71825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Knicks29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4977944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers66c687.71$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.023,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Cavaliers50c664$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks57c610.67$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6762948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Knicks40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Cavaliers64c571.5$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.943455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Knicks56c540.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Knicks32c525.72$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7218534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Knicks58c517.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.591080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks33c512.39$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers59c505.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers44c500.24$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks47c500$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.122,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Cavaliers72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Knicks30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Knicks55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.559655.2%53 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Knicks62c453.11$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Knicks29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8311440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3329040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0f…07a3backed Knicks29c330.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks30c330.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.365332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers72c326.75$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.261,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Knicks38c302.63$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6326233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Cavaliers71c285.42$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.657549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1233…d58fbacked Knicks42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Knicks44c222.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.56038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers61c209$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.532,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks45c180.96$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.964946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks27c177.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.021,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Knicks29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.413745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers52c169.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Cavaliers72c165.19$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7439864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Cavaliers30c150.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.269941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers61c148.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2625554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ab…e652backed Knicks29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.934235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c46…97afbacked Knicks29c132.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.261346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers21c125.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers51c120.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Cavaliers64c119.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Knicks30c116.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.672548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers36c116$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers68c106$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef0…88abbacked Knicks30c100.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Knicks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Knicks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Knicks29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7115927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Knicks27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7310148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers63c94.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.461,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks28c94.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.861,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Knicks54c92.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.965160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Knicks31c90.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.327062.9%44 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Cavaliers71c89.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4129449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Knicks43c82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks27c81.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Knicks29c74.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.133655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Knicks60c73.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2213135.1%46 W · 85 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Cavaliers71c73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Knicks29c72.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4128455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Knicks60c71.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8313021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Knicks28c69.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.384151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Cavaliers72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Cavaliers71c66.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Cavaliers64c62.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Cavaliers67c61.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Cavaliers72c60.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks67c57.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.819438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Cavaliers55c56.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7516033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Cavaliers72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Cavaliers72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402669.2%18 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Cavaliers48c51.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7222453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…bf9fbacked Cavaliers60c50.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Cavaliers55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.