NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628b000ff9dc351b2050eb5163efa3fa86c37599205c8474bc6ece2b07e27f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 23,377$12,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,420.56 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Knicks | 21c | 9,443$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.95 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Knicks | 46c | 9,140$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.6 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Cavaliers | 51c | 8,877$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.3 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers | 52c | 8,164$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.11 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Knicks | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.91 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 6,083$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 5,197$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.26 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Cavaliers | 79c | 5,113$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,951$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,644$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 48c | 3,931$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.05 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Knicks | 40c | 3,913$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 39c | 2,896$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.54 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 65c | 2,671$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 29c | 2,623$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.47 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,565$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.47 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 32c | 2,408$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.94 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,125$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.65 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 10c | 2,092$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,046$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.33 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Cavaliers | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 23c | 1,987$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.35 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Knicks | 66c | 1,899$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +135%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…fb18backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,882$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,833$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.75 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Cavaliers | 31c | 1,744$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks | 24c | 1,701$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.2 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.57 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Knicks | 57c | 1,238$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,227$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…1c90backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,225$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,225$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 59c | 1,166$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,146$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 33c | 1,119$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,056$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,039$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.16 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Knicks | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 922.17$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.05 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Knicks | 45c | 898.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks | 21c | 887.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.59 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Knicks | 60c | 834.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.61 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cavaliers | 57c | 782.85$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.73 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…8524backed Cavaliers | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Knicks | 43c | 732.93$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Cavaliers | 78c | 723.85$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers | 36c | 636.31$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 626.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Knicks | 48c | 620.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 566$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Cavaliers | 74c | 558.56$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Knicks | 22c | 549.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.65 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Cavaliers | 39c | 541.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 47c | 539.48$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Knicks | 50c | 531$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Cavaliers | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Cavaliers | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 37c | 456.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Cavaliers | 77c | 444$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Knicks | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Knicks | 23c | 426.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.09 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Cavaliers | 12c | 417.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Knicks | 23c | 407.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Cavaliers | 29c | 386.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cavaliers | 56c | 355.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 55c | 329.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 325.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 324.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Knicks | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Knicks | 38c | 307.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cavaliers | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Knicks | 35c | 278.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 62c | 244.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 61c | 227.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 221.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Knicks | 79c | 199$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks | 23c | 188.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 188.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 143.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 140.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Cavaliers | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…4209backed Cavaliers | 52c | 139.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Knicks | 22c | 136.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cavaliers | 66c | 131.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Cavaliers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers | 78c | 126$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Knicks | 34c | 123.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…6f2fbacked Knicks | 30c | 123.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 121.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Knicks | 42c | 119.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Knicks | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 109.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed Cavaliers | 63c | 107.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.