TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x056e…c0f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,344.25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,320.78
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,542.54
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.34
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$40.91
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$254.94
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.04
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.1%+$68.84
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$47.05
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$241.07
Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Fabian Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$68
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.6
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Victoria Mbokobacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$152.14
Wuhan Tennis Open: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.76
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.7
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$577.96
Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B 2 - 1 CD Castellón?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$232.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$366.52
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.98
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$138.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.89
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$63.59
Will Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.31
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.69
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.9
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monacobacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Real Madrid vs. Partizanbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+94.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$27.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$118.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$867.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.