La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd71f41f2a1d48e79a5cc0aa18f5dedfa2d0eb61e3b3d7f1b7fe49d67c74b1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,281$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 428.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…99e2backed No | 70c | 427$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 253.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 13c | 86.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 83.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…3aaebacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 50.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 42.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 38c | 33.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.