La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b2e85b2770bebc466455496b8ade1a23c0fc149d48256e0b951ccde243a08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 2,651$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.48 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.32 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 858.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 802$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Yes | 34c | 794.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 37c | 748.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 706.42$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 481.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 34c | 453.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 356.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 43c | 325.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 66c | 275.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 43c | 216.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 17c | 212.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…99e2backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 27c | 199.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 65c | 191.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 47c | 191.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 53c | 185.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 182$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 56c | 170.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 66c | 148$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 126.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 43c | 105.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 42c | 101.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 63c | 100.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 43c | 97.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 82.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 65.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 38c | 52.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 50.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 41c | 48.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 35c | 44.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 44c | 41.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 40.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 54c | 31.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…76abbacked Yes | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 46c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 46c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 60c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…de5dbacked No | 68c | 18.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.