Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aebf2ef696c703e0e10eb8059aa3b620c27f3e21f277852418ba2dab9d4c13d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x188d…d55fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 2,260$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 1,396$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.86 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 34c | 1,360$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 1,124$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.59 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 33c | 667.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 649$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 618.18$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…a620backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 33c | 617.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 294.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…4dfbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 243.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 34c | 206.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 163.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 32c | 142.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36c | 114.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 31c | 100.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36c | 79.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 70.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 37c | 59.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…69b5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 32.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…faf9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 27.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.