Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e90db9a97ce9d3ff0185b3c0d6e375c66f5ad3b9190d368194fdd649562beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Paolini | 42c | 30,000$12,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,521.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gauff | 61c | 13,241$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff | 74c | 11,374$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.92 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gauff | 58c | 6,913$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.18 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gauff | 61c | 4,305$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.45 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gauff | 50c | 4,190$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.72 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Paolini | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Paolini | 48c | 3,417$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.63 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gauff | 59c | 3,037$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.9 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Paolini | 50c | 2,780$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.69 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gauff | 63c | 2,754$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Paolini | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Gauff | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paolini | 42c | 1,943$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Gauff | 58c | 1,621$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.82 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Gauff | 65c | 1,434$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Gauff | 57c | 1,372$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Gauff | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Paolini | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.06 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 41c | 1,047$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.97 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Paolini | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…978bbacked Paolini | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Gauff | 61c | 950$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gauff | 62c | 910$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paolini | 48c | 854.25$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gauff | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Gauff | 66c | 776.56$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gauff | 51c | 660.91$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Paolini | 41c | 580$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Gauff | 58c | 522.41$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gauff | 58c | 513.28$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Paolini | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 33c | 496.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…bdebbacked Paolini | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Gauff | 55c | 399.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Paolini | 32c | 299.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Paolini | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Gauff | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Gauff | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paolini | 41c | 173.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Paolini | 34c | 169$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Paolini | 42c | 168.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Paolini | 33c | 151.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Paolini | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Gauff | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Paolini | 44c | 135.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paolini | 41c | 122.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Paolini | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Paolini | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gauff | 55c | 116.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Paolini | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Gauff | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Gauff | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Gauff | 62c | 81.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Paolini | 26c | 77.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked Paolini | 45c | 67.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Gauff | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Paolini | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Paolini | 43c | 59.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…8a0abacked Paolini | 34c | 59.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked Gauff | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Gauff | 74c | 56.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Paolini | 45c | 54.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Paolini | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Paolini | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Gauff | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Gauff | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…61f2backed Paolini | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…7902backed Paolini | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…44b7backed Paolini | 34c | 36.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Paolini | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…a945backed Paolini | 46c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Gauff | 71c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Gauff | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.