TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Djokovic, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Vacherot15c53,449$8,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,239.585950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic36c30,613$11,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,045.5214243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Djokovic40c27,000$10,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,888.752045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Djokovic41c20,493$8,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,496.9220653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vacherot65c19,299$12,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,798.91,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Vacherot72c16,849$12,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.766747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Vacherot55c15,949$8,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,165.832119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Vacherot14c15,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9008429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c2…680ebacked Djokovic30c12,991$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…978bbacked Djokovic0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot23c7,997$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.644360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Vacherot55c6,405$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.297655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Vacherot63c6,148$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.094548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vacherot59c5,204$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.961,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Djokovic29c5,127$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.5857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Djokovic21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Djokovic45c4,500$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vacherot66c3,365$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.6124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vacherot63c3,037$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.1811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Vacherot68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9606331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Djokovic12c2,021$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0219131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Vacherot37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Vacherot61c1,804$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5313435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Vacherot66c1,724$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.812737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Vacherot36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vacherot13c1,485$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.9512050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf65…178abacked Vacherot72c1,368$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Vacherot37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.351560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Djokovic16c1,348$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.962227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vacherot64c1,338$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.82,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Vacherot15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Vacherot20c1,300$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.656126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Vacherot79c1,200$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0913253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Vacherot13c1,200$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9529634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Vacherot15c1,193$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.3313727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Vacherot15c1,111$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9406035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Vacherot25c1,008$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.1612445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Djokovic21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Vacherot61c1,000$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.67653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Djokovic19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…9159backed Djokovic41c886.83$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Vacherot14c754.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.246147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd33…cf51backed Djokovic37c736$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Vacherot35c678.85$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Djokovic21c657.62$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.446719.4%13 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Djokovic10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Djokovic52c572.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Vacherot9c554.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.8115724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed Vacherot69c547.83$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Djokovic10c458.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Djokovic45c441.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Vacherot40c416.84$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7862952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vacherot76c361.34$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7217767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Vacherot78c339.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9975547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vacherot76c328.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.81,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Vacherot14c323.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Vacherot57c284$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.467131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Vacherot37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2773147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Vacherot15c250$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Vacherot13c232.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.272,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Djokovic33c232$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5691050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ee…700bbacked Djokovic47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Djokovic48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Vacherot15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked Vacherot60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Vacherot33c199.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1927132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01cd…c56cbacked Vacherot15c181.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.371963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Vacherot15c172.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9417538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Vacherot15c170.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.853354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Vacherot30c156$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6410622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Djokovic55c151.05$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.715438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Vacherot65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Vacherot14c143$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.981,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x157e…7acabacked Vacherot13c142.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0626169.3%181 W · 80 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Vacherot62c141.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7714332.9%47 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Vacherot26c138.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4126045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Djokovic16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Vacherot33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.424837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Djokovic78c120$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Djokovic41c117$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9717867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Djokovic18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55e2…aaf4backed Djokovic46c101.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf17…3eeebacked Djokovic18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Vacherot15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21cd…e7aabacked Vacherot23c95.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.567441.9%31 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Vacherot34c90$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc679…4914backed Djokovic78c90$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3579…0cbfbacked Vacherot14c87.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056e…c0f4backed Djokovic45c84.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Djokovic25c81.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.453145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Vacherot61c73.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Djokovic21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.715860.8%96 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Vacherot80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Djokovic24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Vacherot24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.931819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…c5a2backed Djokovic32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e5…9552backed Vacherot56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Djokovic39c45.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.692740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Djokovic39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Djokovic40c37.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.