TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c13,004$8,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes57c8,800$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0162850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes36c8,137$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No41c6,322$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.9414146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes30c5,775$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.3460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No67c5,572$3,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.061968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c4,668$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.4257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes57c4,400$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5082951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.8119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c3,889$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.51,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes15c3,864$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6921322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c3,615$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes58c3,600$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No42c3,400$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.95253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No42c2,597$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.231020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No48c2,459$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.226352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c2,411$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.2519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c2,293$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33049447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes44c2,194$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.411225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c1,996$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes19c1,758$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4412823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c1,671$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.9864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c1,595$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.241,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c1,574$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.0148153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes34c1,470$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes58c1,410$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7913445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c1,090$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes59c1,004$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.213452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No42c999.97$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.9848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No42c982.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.135450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No43c927.02$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.411252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes39c910.26$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35523727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes45c885.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes2c743.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5811366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No44c620.09$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9510843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c613.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No60c511.9$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053850%19 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed No47c493.72$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c483.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4510634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes3c470.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes8c437.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.955625%14 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No43c400$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23017159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes57c360$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.22544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No42c351.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…46babacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c348.18$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…bae8backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No42c342$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes59c315.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.052853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes57c307$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.999237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…977cbacked Yes51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c295.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.153,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes34c286.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.436833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes49c284.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.46225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No43c279.34$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.222568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes29c279.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.713658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes31c274.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8210347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…42a1backed Yes59c258.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No44c252.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.657560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes42c244$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.266934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Yes58c233$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.141060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes26c229.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No42c226.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.314837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9913644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Yes57c197$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes27c188.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.824332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes41c184.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757548%36 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes58c181$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c175.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c174.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd1…0689backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No41c169.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2912757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005275%39 W · 13 L+11.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.