TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c31,629$10,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,782.884,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c24,127$9,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,608.6457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No26c15,362$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.8521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c8,862$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.693,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes54c5,075$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No48c3,890$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.1212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c3,594$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.61,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes19c2,890$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.293737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c2,568$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.0583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes18c1,670$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.927927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes18c1,601$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.552222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes17c1,586$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.0719255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No74c1,518$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Yes42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes18c1,324$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No28c1,205$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c1,179$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes18c1,066$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.7922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No27c946.86$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8110948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No25c736.01$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.84240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No27c715.62$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes70c679.57$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.453754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No30c667.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.57195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes18c603.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.674837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes18c600$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+137.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes65c582.42$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.859557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…f8b7backed Yes17c571.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.711136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+144.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed No35c571.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5615062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes18c550$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45115940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes19c531.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.588254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes32c511.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.697838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes78c494.49$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes41c486.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.726170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes40c428.61$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.74376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No27c349.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.124445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.126926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c267.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes38c262.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.989466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c261.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.291,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes48c252.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes41c243.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.157265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes41c242.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes19c241.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5722448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf2…068abacked Yes19c241.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes17c230$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes19c210.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1818842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes18c206.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.462236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes17c205.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.883644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes19c204.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0110152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c203$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2910347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1723046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes16c199.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c189.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No80c182$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.617455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.472646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes17c158$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No46c153.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.417842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes19c150.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.014431.8%14 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+126.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed Yes33c140.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes37c130.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8615150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f52…3714backed Yes19c125.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+144.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes17c119.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.978643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f5…4807backed Yes17c114.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.581931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Yes22c111.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.792263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No37c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes29c106.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.02955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c105.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5614023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.264131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.267623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b2…5486backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+132.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b5b4backed Yes18c102.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+272.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.994153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c99.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6941348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Yes19c93.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.491618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0b…5283backed Yes17c92.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No33c91.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes20c90$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725625%14 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes18c88.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.892330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.244623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes17c85.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c83.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3559655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Yes67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes17c77.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.169721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaad…abc0backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.