Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce29401bee051a9e755b00c799da77d0f0bf7c50e50c11b5152f2b87d84e5cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Sabalenka, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pegula | 46c | 16,081$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.33 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka | 76c | 15,000$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,325 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sabalenka | 74c | 10,000$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.24 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pegula | 37c | 8,973$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pegula | 24c | 7,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Sabalenka | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pegula | 23c | 5,577$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.11 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sabalenka | 28c | 5,296$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.54 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Sabalenka | 73c | 4,733$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.39 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pegula | 33c | 3,883$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Pegula | 25c | 3,279$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sabalenka | 76c | 3,105$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Sabalenka | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pegula | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Pegula | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Sabalenka | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Sabalenka | 75c | 1,819$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.38 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pegula | 25c | 1,761$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Pegula | 28c | 1,700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pegula | 23c | 1,636$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.83 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Sabalenka | 72c | 1,453$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.69 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pegula | 25c | 1,216$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Pegula | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.04 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…4819backed Sabalenka | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabalenka | 73c | 999.94$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.96 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 934.17$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pegula | 39c | 933.15$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pegula | 18c | 825.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Pegula | 24c | 786.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.21 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Sabalenka | 64c | 745.31$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sabalenka | 25c | 708.91$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…e6dfbacked Sabalenka | 77c | 651.42$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sabalenka | 79c | 547.61$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pegula | 20c | 506.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sabalenka | 35c | 432.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Pegula | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sabalenka | 74c | 373.2$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Sabalenka | 24c | 327.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pegula | 22c | 313.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…6d03backed Sabalenka | 70c | 294.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Sabalenka | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Sabalenka | 75c | 269$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sabalenka | 75c | 265.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Pegula | 24c | 265$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sabalenka | 73c | 251.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pegula | 23c | 217$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Pegula | 27c | 208.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…06a2backed Sabalenka | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Pegula | 34c | 199.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Sabalenka | 76c | 188.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sabalenka | 74c | 148.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Sabalenka | 70c | 129.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Sabalenka | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Sabalenka | 74c | 110.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Pegula | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Pegula | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pegula | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Sabalenka | 72c | 100.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Sabalenka | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Sabalenka | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pegula | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Pegula | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Pegula | 45c | 90.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Pegula | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Pegula | 37c | 80.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked Sabalenka | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pegula | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Sabalenka | 74c | 76.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…0cb0backed Sabalenka | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Sabalenka | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Sabalenka | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pegula | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…42efbacked Pegula | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 36.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Sabalenka | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabalenka | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…52c2backed Pegula | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked Sabalenka | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…4fe5backed Pegula | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…c7cebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.