TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Victoria Mboko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mbokoof Bucsa, Mboko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Mboko77c32,794$25,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.58,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Bucsa22c15,590$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.4815436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bucsa29c8,999$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.7166949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bucsa25c5,001$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.1416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Bucsa32c4,927$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.721526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucsa21c4,431$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.012,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mboko75c3,192$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.442,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucsa18c2,767$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Bucsa32c2,750$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87522629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Bucsa19c2,620$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Bucsa19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4753447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Mboko69c2,476$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9624558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mboko68c1,789$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.481,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucsa23c1,610$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.971,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bucsa9c1,188$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.772,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Bucsa22c1,138$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24817850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Bucsa16c845.53$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6217442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Mboko80c737$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3510060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mboko80c718.04$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Mboko76c698.1$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.751,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Bucsa12c622.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Bucsa32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Bucsa2c599.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6f…740abacked Mboko74c539.97$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.37540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucsa7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Bucsa10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Bucsa14c500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-85%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Bucsa12c480$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bucsa31c477.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5255143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Bucsa20c459.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.784443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed Mboko72c452.17$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.421020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Bucsa23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Bucsa30c430.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2927063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Mboko77c404.73$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.093855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mboko67c393.79$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.951,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mboko77c369$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8717867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056e…c0f4backed Bucsa17c336.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…0d33backed Bucsa14c336.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Bucsa15c335.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Bucsa30c334.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb41c…ab82backed Bucsa26c326.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.274146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucsa32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Mboko70c305.5$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7222744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Mboko67c299.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1118659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Mboko68c297.05$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.065862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Bucsa16c254.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.455225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…89babacked Mboko69c233.36$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Mboko69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6222737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Bucsa23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.335527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Bucsa7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Bucsa31c199.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9822840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…d34cbacked Bucsa11c185.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Bucsa21c183.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Mboko72c175$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8310358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Mboko80c173.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Mboko70c164.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bucsa25c156.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…31b6backed Bucsa32c155.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Mboko69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9343158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Mboko69c144.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.298065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfd6…d50dbacked Bucsa21c143.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Mboko72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bucsa11c134.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Mboko74c128.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5938356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3a32backed Mboko72c117.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucsa30c116.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8362742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…6ad7backed Bucsa26c114.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Mboko68c113.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.436046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Bucsa30c105$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.524340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bucsa24c104.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8949749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Bucsa20c102.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Bucsa25c101.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Bucsa19c101.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Mboko77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mboko69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3173147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Mboko70c93.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Bucsa36c91.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2643948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Bucsa22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Bucsa30c84.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255350.9%27 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Mboko68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.885275%39 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Mboko68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7237…ca81backed Mboko74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Mboko70c66.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1416657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Mboko69c60.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Bucsa25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.938947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Mboko69c59.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.337664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Mboko69c57.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8316459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Mboko70c52.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8774961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Bucsa27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Bucsa22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.948050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29a…a069backed Bucsa32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Mboko76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.214852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Bucsa31c35.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0418241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…1edebacked Bucsa32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…7ef7backed Mboko76c26.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876c…7d86backed Mboko70c22.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.861392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Mboko68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.064367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f1…fde9backed Mboko69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Mboko70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4310250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Mboko69c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9424560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.