TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes27c11,449$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,357.9315034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c9,459$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.353,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c6,815$5,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.5557139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c5,744$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.3458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No43c5,285$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.2921322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No73c3,621$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.584959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.958160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c2,840$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.954,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c2,839$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.531,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No70c2,489$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.53476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes73c2,474$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.6660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes65c2,143$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.84582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No74c2,032$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.9944039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4603073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes19c1,860$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.91020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No76c1,684$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.8913844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c1,552$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes26c1,523$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.012842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No73c1,424$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No24c1,398$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.549931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,338$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.465232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes26c1,253$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.229956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes13c1,232$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.186225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dfa…1d81backed Yes24c1,200$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9121315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c1,169$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes66c1,067$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No40c1,058$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.6212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6323727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…e965backed Yes47c1,033$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7404837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.863925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes8c863.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.392330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c785.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.74333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes10c700$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63011819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c699.95$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.5748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes21c639.64$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.326048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes27c613$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.492556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes26c523.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.176839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c512.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4759058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No29c477.87$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.366243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c443.66$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8740239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No17c432.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No19c409.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.897024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c391.72$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No80c370$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2962080%16 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+66%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No72c359.18$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25713658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0e…5136backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e1…f9c6backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.143847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…9d11backed Yes20c350$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No75c346.05$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2610843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes6c343.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.331637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes26c310.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.077838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes67c298.66$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No26c291$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6610127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c274.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No31c271.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8915540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c269$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.378672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No74c252.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.833636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c235.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.671,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes24c223.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.211030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c218.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7515051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No36c203.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.597450%37 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3a…2b88backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…c0f4backed Yes28c192.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No37c190.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.656377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb61f…be5dbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c178$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes74c173.28$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.576350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c172.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.178246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No21c166.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c161.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes66c150.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.699946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No73c149.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.492965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Yes17c144.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+156.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes72c137.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2522859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed No77c130.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes13c124.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.723429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes54c122$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.954362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.116926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked Yes21c110$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6b…3962backed Yes26c108.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd1…0689backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e6…6779backed Yes28c107.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes28c106.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.762951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c101$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7317859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7313644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.