TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over56c17,045$9,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.783467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c13,430$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,941.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over55c11,175$6,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.5427549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c7,616$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.3455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under45c7,440$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Over61c5,200$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0282975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under21c4,005$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.641,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c3,000$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under44c2,935$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.377048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,910$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under39c2,696$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.5420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under39c2,504$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.461,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under16c2,497$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.211,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under22c2,177$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.171,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under45c2,150$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over77c2,079$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under21c1,971$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1811558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.936662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c1,619$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.3137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under18c1,615$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.895937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c1,452$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c1,443$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.1490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under19c1,384$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2921957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c1,330$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over50c1,329$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over77c1,122$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c1,054$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.731,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over61c976.14$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over53c952.87$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.853275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933080%24 W · 6 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c892.32$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under44c727.56$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.296347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c678.21$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over53c622.28$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.782857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under24c590.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c545.38$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under22c535.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8123…9041backed Over55c534.56$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Under47c532$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over54c503.78$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7813759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over55c483.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c442.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c436.62$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.791,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked Over54c332.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.131643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c323.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb19…60e6backed Over56c320.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over55c310.2$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over57c300.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0116251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddd…f58dbacked Under46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over54c224.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4668…3b66backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c217.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under22c210.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.087154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…5d63backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee65…0063backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bab…80ccbacked Under47c195.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under28c194.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd36…09c0backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c187.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over54c182.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1115649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c179.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe284…4018backed Under45c170$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under43c158.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.573537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under23c154$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7427245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb9…27f5backed Over53c146.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c145.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under43c145$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.358026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d6…d0c0backed Over54c143.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1d…7e54backed Under47c133.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…aa59backed Under48c127.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…e06ebacked Over54c126.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc9…1146backed Over53c125.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c121.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389f…6079backed Under48c120.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…7ca1backed Under48c115.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc1…f56cbacked Under47c113.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1046…7041backed Under47c112.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88da…3eabbacked Under47c108.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ff…8af2backed Over53c108.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d9…4007backed Over54c105.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over79c102.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8861253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over51c100.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.