NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0d0a95db58139c21ec062561eed1e1be72bbe56ab118ef9bc5fcb0ed3c835f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $87,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks	76c	31,713$24,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,611.13	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers	24c	21,651$5,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,196.23	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Cavaliers	24c	10,313$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475.12	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks	76c	8,950$6,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,158.95	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	24c	5,229$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.96	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Knicks	76c	3,000$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers	24c	2,429$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.9	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Knicks	77c	1,587$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.92	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	78c	1,464$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.44	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers	4c	1,414$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.54	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Cavaliers	4c	1,303$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.14	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers	17c	1,008$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.28	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Cavaliers	24c	901.33$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.32	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers	18c	709$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.62	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks	78c	644.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.4	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	24c	582.27$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.75	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks	76c	564.66$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.52	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Cavaliers	22c	460$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Cavaliers	2c	442.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks	76c	432.49$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.8	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Cavaliers	24c	412.5$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Cavaliers	24c	406$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Cavaliers	22c	404.9$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Cavaliers	23c	390.45$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.8	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Cavaliers	9c	278.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…eeb6backed Knicks	78c	249.97$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks	79c	238.19$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.02	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks	76c	233.93$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.39	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cavaliers	25c	208.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.35	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…f753backed Knicks	76c	198.39$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Cavaliers	20c	198$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks	77c	153.81$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.67	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers	24c	150.1$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.02	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Cavaliers	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	370	37.3%138 W · 232 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Knicks	79c	149.37$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.37	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Cavaliers	25c	147.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Knicks	78c	141.77$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.95	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd480…ddc8backed Knicks	78c	129.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Knicks	76c	129.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.68	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks	77c	117.4$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Knicks	78c	102.56$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	271	62.4%169 W · 102 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Knicks	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e27…ca89backed Knicks	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	74cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Cavaliers	15c	84.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9292…3724backed Knicks	76c	65.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c4…d765backed Knicks	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks	77c	56.32$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Knicks	76c	55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	218	43.6%95 W · 123 L	-15.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks	76c	50.95$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.23	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0850…5ec6backed Cavaliers	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Cavaliers	24c	47.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Cavaliers	24c	43.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82b…4a75backed Cavaliers	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Knicks	76c	39.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	519	46.8%243 W · 276 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Knicks	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Knicks	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	296	65.5%194 W · 102 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Knicks	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Knicks	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.93	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4d…d39bbacked Knicks	80c	24.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Knicks	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	104	64.4%67 W · 37 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…4406backed Knicks	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	52cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Knicks	77c	19.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.53	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Knicks	76c	18.68$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ecd…fd8bbacked Knicks	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Knicks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Knicks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event