TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over47c75,502$35,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,157.495940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under53c28,129$14,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,908.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c27,652$12,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,722.2855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over48c18,395$8,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,565.274042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under53c10,943$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under53c10,200$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4062437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c10,042$5,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,432.5289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00063746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c7,802$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over48c7,708$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.335442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over78c4,754$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under55c4,529$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over47c3,300$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5604459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under32c2,785$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.3211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under54c2,587$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.985358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c2,424$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under18c2,276$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.141,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under27c2,152$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.1519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over75c1,919$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under23c1,868$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.644738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over48c1,798$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over48c1,621$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.927143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over69c1,575$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.291,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,522$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under27c1,408$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under27c1,344$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over49c1,231$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62812542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6121947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c1,107$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c1,100$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under22c1,077$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9520946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c1,064$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over48c1,056$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.2516740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under8c1,017$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over52c980.5$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47768944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c892.23$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under52c799.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Under25c786.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006756.7%38 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2910861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over48c722.66$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under53c711.32$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37714049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3183562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under53c584$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.529845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c562.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over55c535.33$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.115543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under30c503.44$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed Under9c488.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c480.67$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25064948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under25c463.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9125150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under23c447$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c438.16$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c434.61$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.661,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c433$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over45c409$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9517247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under55c366$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.326147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under48c343.1$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.867342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under55c325$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.752272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Under55c323$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.653256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Under54c323$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.422630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under24c322.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under31c314.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.056038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under4c303.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1215648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under53c280.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.617051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over66c262$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Under53c254$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.625759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe36…5ceabacked Under53c251.49$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.292138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13060049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under53c249.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.221225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under53c238$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.145756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c232.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.981,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under53c230$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.911858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under53c228$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f190backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under54c214.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9915562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080d…6854backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…d3eebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under23c207.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4527245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under53c202.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.551566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Under13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.